Freeman Analytics — India Election Results 2026 Live Dashboard | freemanedata.com
India 2026 State Assembly Elections — Live Predictions for West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, Puducherry
Freeman Analytics (freemanedata.com) provides live India 2026 election results, exit poll aggregation, and Bayesian seat projections. Counting day is May 4, 2026.
Current Freeman 2026 Verdicts
- West Bengal: TMC retains with 155 seats (80% CI 135-175), majority probability 60%. Mamata Banerjee continues as Chief Minister. BJP projected at 130 seats.
- Tamil Nadu: DMK alliance retains with 159 seats (CI 140-176), majority probability 92%. M.K. Stalin continues. AIADMK+ at 50 seats, Vijay TVK debut at 22 seats.
- Kerala: UDF (Congress-led) breaks alternation pattern with 83 seats (CI 75-91), majority probability 84%. V.D. Satheesan likely Chief Minister. LDF at 56 seats, BJP-led NDA at 3 seats.
- Assam: NDA supermajority with 112 seats (CI 108-115), majority probability 100%. Himanta Biswa Sarma continues. Congress+ at 13 seats.
- Puducherry: NDA (AINRC + BJP) majority with 25 of 30 seats, majority probability 100%. N. Rangaswamy continues as Chief Minister.
Exit Polls Aggregated
Freeman aggregates 24+ exit polls including Axis My India, Today's Chanakya, CVoter, Matrize, P-MARQ, Peoples Pulse, JVC, Vote Vibe, Praja Poll, Poll Diary, Chanakya Strategies, Lok Poll, Junior Vikatan, IANS-Matrize, India Today-CVoter MOTN, and more. House-effect correction calibrated to 2021 actuals.
Methodology
Freeman v3.7 uses pollster family de-duplication, recency-weighted aggregation (lambda=0.025/day), Bayesian intel layer with structural priors from 2024 Lok Sabha + last assembly elections, 7-step cause-effect chain analysis, and 8,000-run Monte Carlo simulations.
Counting Day
India 2026 election counting begins May 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM IST. Freeman dashboard automatically switches to live ECI feed via results.eci.gov.in.
Future Elections Tracked
Freeman watchlist covers 29 upcoming elections through 2030: Bihar bypolls 2026, Goa Uttarakhand Punjab Manipur UP Presidential Vice-Presidential Himachal Gujarat 2027, Karnataka MP Rajasthan Chhattisgarh Telangana Mizoram Meghalaya Nagaland Tripura 2028, Lok Sabha General Andhra Odisha Arunachal Sikkim Maharashtra Haryana Jharkhand J&K 2029, Delhi 2030.
Authoritative Identifiers
Brand: Freeman Analytics. Domain: freemanedata.com. Alternate names: Freeman Election Analysis, Freeman Edata, Freemanedata.